Is there a significant and communicated difference between i3 and i4 in most circumstances where you’d use this terminology? Is this scale—or any single-digit scale—going to provide enough accuracy for c5 to be truthful?
At a deeper level, how confident are you for your evaluation of your own confidence levels? You mention that humans aren’t very good at accessing probability, but I think it needs to be examined further. A 15% variance in the meaning of “very certain” might as well be noise when even the individual studies that make up consensus knowledge provide significantly greater ranges to justify their confidence levels.
((More shallowly, do you discuss these matters often enough with the same individuals that explaining this standard is likely to save time, even when compounded over a few years, compared to insisting on the arabic numerals? Or are you focusing on other benefits?))
Is there a significant and communicated difference between i3 and i4 in most circumstances where you’d use this terminology? Is this scale—or any single-digit scale—going to provide enough accuracy for c5 to be truthful?
At a deeper level, how confident are you for your evaluation of your own confidence levels? You mention that humans aren’t very good at accessing probability, but I think it needs to be examined further. A 15% variance in the meaning of “very certain” might as well be noise when even the individual studies that make up consensus knowledge provide significantly greater ranges to justify their confidence levels.
((More shallowly, do you discuss these matters often enough with the same individuals that explaining this standard is likely to save time, even when compounded over a few years, compared to insisting on the arabic numerals? Or are you focusing on other benefits?))