There are a couple of ways out. There’s an unusual cohesion in the military currently, which allows the military to pull this off. Normally military regimes are unstable because even a small faction can threaten a civil war and force a regime change. So if the current generation dies -or- becomes dependent on their intelligence agency -or- a new officer faction things change. The new faction may prefer a return to the barracks, and change the whole system.
The western sanctions do not matter. Western investment, aid and loan forgiveness do matter, but no enough to stop the violence.
There are a couple of ways out. There’s an unusual cohesion in the military currently, which allows the military to pull this off. Normally military regimes are unstable because even a small faction can threaten a civil war and force a regime change. So if the current generation dies -or- becomes dependent on their intelligence agency -or- a new officer faction things change. The new faction may prefer a return to the barracks, and change the whole system.
The western sanctions do not matter. Western investment, aid and loan forgiveness do matter, but no enough to stop the violence.