The “divorce” is logical/conceptual, not evidential. It remains true that “rationalists should win”, in the presumed intended sense that rationality wins in expectation, that winning is evidence of rationality, and that we should read the dictum a bit stronger to correct for our tendency to ascribe non-winning to bad luck.
The “divorce” is logical/conceptual, not evidential. It remains true that “rationalists should win”, in the presumed intended sense that rationality wins in expectation, that winning is evidence of rationality, and that we should read the dictum a bit stronger to correct for our tendency to ascribe non-winning to bad luck.