Well, I would call them “expected value” and “hindsight”.
Hindsight says, “Because we got a good result, it’s all good.”
Expected value says, “We got lucky, and cannot expect to get lucky again.”
Rational Inquirer says “The world gave me a surprise. Is there something I can learn from this surprise?”
And then it says. “We learned something about the random variables that led to that lottery draw. This doesn’t generalize well.”
Well, I would call them “expected value” and “hindsight”.
Hindsight says, “Because we got a good result, it’s all good.”
Expected value says, “We got lucky, and cannot expect to get lucky again.”
Rational Inquirer says “The world gave me a surprise. Is there something I can learn from this surprise?”
And then it says. “We learned something about the random variables that led to that lottery draw. This doesn’t generalize well.”