a more general law, which I would name Conservation of Expected Evidence
I thought it was pretty clear that I was coining the phrase. I’m certainly not the first person to point out the law. E.g. Robin notes that our best estimate of anything should have no predictable trend. In any case, I posted the mathematical derivation and you certainly don’t have to take my word about anything.
a more general law, which I would name Conservation of Expected Evidence
I thought it was pretty clear that I was coining the phrase. I’m certainly not the first person to point out the law. E.g. Robin notes that our best estimate of anything should have no predictable trend. In any case, I posted the mathematical derivation and you certainly don’t have to take my word about anything.