Note that “The AI Safety Community” is not part of this list. I think external people without much capital just won’t have that much leverage over what happens.
What would you advise for external people with some amount of capital, say $5M? How would this change for each of the years 2025-2027?
I sadly don’t have well-developed takes here, but others have pointed out in the past that there are some funding opportunities that are systematically avoided by big funders, where small funders could make a large difference (e.g. the funding of LessWrong!). I expect more of these to pop up as time goes on.
Somewhat obviously, the burn rate of your altruistic budget should account for altruistic donation opportunities (possibly) disappearing post-ASI, but also account for the fact that investing and cashing it out later could also increase the size of the pot. (not financial advice)
(also, I have now edited the part of the post you quote to specify that I don’t just mean financial capital, I mean other forms of capital as well)
What would you advise for external people with some amount of capital, say $5M? How would this change for each of the years 2025-2027?
I sadly don’t have well-developed takes here, but others have pointed out in the past that there are some funding opportunities that are systematically avoided by big funders, where small funders could make a large difference (e.g. the funding of LessWrong!). I expect more of these to pop up as time goes on.
Somewhat obviously, the burn rate of your altruistic budget should account for altruistic donation opportunities (possibly) disappearing post-ASI, but also account for the fact that investing and cashing it out later could also increase the size of the pot. (not financial advice)
(also, I have now edited the part of the post you quote to specify that I don’t just mean financial capital, I mean other forms of capital as well)