The post doesn’t seem to contemplate the effect that open-weights models will have on the take-off dynamics. For example, it seems like the DeepSeek V3 release shows that whatever performance is achieved at the frontier, is then achieved in open-weights at a much lower cost.
Given that, the centralization forces might not dominate.
The post doesn’t seem to contemplate the effect that open-weights models will have on the take-off dynamics. For example, it seems like the DeepSeek V3 release shows that whatever performance is achieved at the frontier, is then achieved in open-weights at a much lower cost.
Given that, the centralization forces might not dominate.