There’s someone on X (f.k.a.Twitter) called Jimmy Apples (🍎/​acc) and he has shared some information in the past that turned out to be true (apparently the GPT-4 release date and that OAI’s new model would be named “Gobi”). He recently tweeted, “AGI has been achieved internally.” Some people think that the Reddit comment below may be from the same guy (this is just a weak signal, I’m not implying you should consider it true or update on it):
Where is the evidence that he called OpenAI’s release date and the Gobi name? All I see is a tweet claiming the latter but it seems the original tweet isn’t even up?
Predicting the GPT-4 launch date can easily be disproven with the confidence game. It’s possible he just created a prediction for every day and deleted the ones that didn’t turn out right.
For the Gobi prediction it’s tricky. The only evidence is the Threadreader and a random screenshot from a guy who seems clearly related to jim. I am very suspicious of the Threadreader one. On one hand I don’t see a way it can be faked, but it’s very suspicious that the Gobi prediction is Jimmy’s only post that was saved there despite him making an even bigger bombshell “prediction”. It’s also possible, though unlikely, that the Information’s article somehow found his tweet and used it as a source for their article.
What kills Jimmy’s credibility for me is his prediction back in January (you can use the Wayback Machine to find it) that OAI had finished training GPT-5, no not a GPT-5 level system, the ACTUAL GPT-5 in October 2022 and that it was 125T parameters.
Also goes without saying, pruning his entire account is suspicious too.
I’ll try to find them, but this was what people were saying. They also said he deleted past tweets so that evidence may forever be gone.
I remember one tweet where Jimmy said something like, “Gobi? That’s old news, I said that months ago, you need to move on to the new thing.” And I think he linked the tweet though I’m very unsure atm. Need to look it up, but you can use the above for a search.
New tweet by Jimmy Apples. This time, he’s insinuating that OpenAI is funding a stealth startup working on BCI.
If this is true, then it makes sense they would prefer not to do it internally to avoid people knowing in advance based on their hires. A stealth startup would keep things more secret.
Not sure exactly what this means, but Jimmy Apples has now tweeted the following:
My gut is telling me that he apple-bossed too close to the sun (released info he shouldn’t have, and now that he’s concerned about his job or some insider’s job), and it’s time for him to stop sharing stuff (the apple being bitten symbolizing that he is done sharing info).
This is because the information in my shortform was widely shared on X and beyond.
He also deleted all of his tweets (except for the retweets).
Or that he was genuinely just making things up and tricking us for fun, and a cryptic exit is a perfect way to leave the scene. I really think people are looking way too deep into him and ignoring the more outlandish predictions he’s made (125T GPT-4 and 5 in October 2022), along with the fact there is never actual evidence of his accurate ones, only 2nd hand very specific and selective archives.
He did say some true things before. I think it’s possible all of the new stuff is untrue, but we’re getting more reasons to believe it’s not entirely false. The best liars sprinkle in truth.
I think, as a security measure, it’s also possible that even people within OpenAI know all the big details of what’s going on (this is apparently the case for Anthropic). This could mean, for OpenAI employees, that some details are known while others are not. Employees themselves could be forced to speculate on some things.
Either way, I’m not obsessing too much over this. Just sharing what I’m seeing.
There’s someone on X (f.k.a.Twitter) called Jimmy Apples (🍎/​acc) and he has shared some information in the past that turned out to be true (apparently the GPT-4 release date and that OAI’s new model would be named “Gobi”). He recently tweeted, “AGI has been achieved internally.” Some people think that the Reddit comment below may be from the same guy (this is just a weak signal, I’m not implying you should consider it true or update on it):
Where is the evidence that he called OpenAI’s release date and the Gobi name? All I see is a tweet claiming the latter but it seems the original tweet isn’t even up?
This is the tweet for Gobi: https://​​x.com/​​apples_jimmy/​​status/​​1703871137137176820?s=46&t=YyfxSdhuFYbTafD4D1cE9A
I asked someone if it’s fake. Apparently not, you can find it on google archive: https://​​threadreaderapp.com/​​thread/​​1651837957618409472.html
Predicting the GPT-4 launch date can easily be disproven with the confidence game. It’s possible he just created a prediction for every day and deleted the ones that didn’t turn out right.
For the Gobi prediction it’s tricky. The only evidence is the Threadreader and a random screenshot from a guy who seems clearly related to jim. I am very suspicious of the Threadreader one. On one hand I don’t see a way it can be faked, but it’s very suspicious that the Gobi prediction is Jimmy’s only post that was saved there despite him making an even bigger bombshell “prediction”. It’s also possible, though unlikely, that the Information’s article somehow found his tweet and used it as a source for their article.
What kills Jimmy’s credibility for me is his prediction back in January (you can use the Wayback Machine to find it) that OAI had finished training GPT-5, no not a GPT-5 level system, the ACTUAL GPT-5 in October 2022 and that it was 125T parameters.
Also goes without saying, pruning his entire account is suspicious too.
I’ll try to find them, but this was what people were saying. They also said he deleted past tweets so that evidence may forever be gone.
I remember one tweet where Jimmy said something like, “Gobi? That’s old news, I said that months ago, you need to move on to the new thing.” And I think he linked the tweet though I’m very unsure atm. Need to look it up, but you can use the above for a search.
New tweet by Jimmy Apples. This time, he’s insinuating that OpenAI is funding a stealth startup working on BCI.
If this is true, then it makes sense they would prefer not to do it internally to avoid people knowing in advance based on their hires. A stealth startup would keep things more secret.
Might be of interest, @lisathiergart and @Allison Duettmann.
Not sure exactly what this means, but Jimmy Apples has now tweeted the following:
My gut is telling me that he apple-bossed too close to the sun (released info he shouldn’t have, and now that he’s concerned about his job or some insider’s job), and it’s time for him to stop sharing stuff (the apple being bitten symbolizing that he is done sharing info).
This is because the information in my shortform was widely shared on X and beyond.
He also deleted all of his tweets (except for the retweets).
Or that he was genuinely just making things up and tricking us for fun, and a cryptic exit is a perfect way to leave the scene. I really think people are looking way too deep into him and ignoring the more outlandish predictions he’s made (125T GPT-4 and 5 in October 2022), along with the fact there is never actual evidence of his accurate ones, only 2nd hand very specific and selective archives.
He did say some true things before. I think it’s possible all of the new stuff is untrue, but we’re getting more reasons to believe it’s not entirely false. The best liars sprinkle in truth.
I think, as a security measure, it’s also possible that even people within OpenAI know all the big details of what’s going on (this is apparently the case for Anthropic). This could mean, for OpenAI employees, that some details are known while others are not. Employees themselves could be forced to speculate on some things.
Either way, I’m not obsessing too much over this. Just sharing what I’m seeing.