New concept for my “qualia-first calibration” app idea that I just crystallized. The following are all the same “type”:
1. “this feels 10% likely”
2. “this feels 90% likely”
3. “this feels exciting!”
4. “this feels confusing :(”
5. “this is coding related”
6. “this is gaming related”
All of them are a thing you can track: “when I observe this, my predictions turn out to come true N% of the time”.
Numerical-probabilities are merely a special case (tho it still gets additional tooling, since they’re easier to visualize graphs and calculate brier scores for)
And then a major goal of the app is to come up with good UI to help you visualize and compare results for the “non-numeric-qualia”.
Depending on circumstances, it might seem way more important to your prior “this feels confusing” than “this feels 90% likely”. (I’m guessing there is some actual conceptual/mathy work that would need doing to build the mature version of this)
New concept for my “qualia-first calibration” app idea that I just crystallized. The following are all the same “type”:
1. “this feels 10% likely”
2. “this feels 90% likely”
3. “this feels exciting!”
4. “this feels confusing :(”
5. “this is coding related”
6. “this is gaming related”
All of them are a thing you can track: “when I observe this, my predictions turn out to come true N% of the time”.
Numerical-probabilities are merely a special case (tho it still gets additional tooling, since they’re easier to visualize graphs and calculate brier scores for)
And then a major goal of the app is to come up with good UI to help you visualize and compare results for the “non-numeric-qualia”.
Depending on circumstances, it might seem way more important to your prior “this feels confusing” than “this feels 90% likely”. (I’m guessing there is some actual conceptual/mathy work that would need doing to build the mature version of this)