As of right now, I think that if business-as-usual continues in AI/ML, most unskilled labor in the transportation/warehousing of goods will be automatable by 2040.
Scott Anderson, Amazon’s director of Robotics puts it at over 10 years. https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/1/18526092/amazon-warehouse-robotics-automation-ai-10-years-away.
I don’t think it requires any fundamental new insights to happen by 2040, only engineering effort and currently available techniques.
I believe the economic incentives will align with this automation once it becomes achievable.
Transportation and warehousing currently accounts for ~10% of US employment.
Scott Anderson
Can I infer via nominative determinism that Scott Anderson is a friend of the rationalist community?
He is indeed.
Let’s add another Scott to our coffers.
The other other Scott A
As of right now, I think that if business-as-usual continues in AI/ML, most unskilled labor in the transportation/warehousing of goods will be automatable by 2040.
Scott Anderson, Amazon’s director of Robotics puts it at over 10 years. https://www.theverge.com/2019/5/1/18526092/amazon-warehouse-robotics-automation-ai-10-years-away.
I don’t think it requires any fundamental new insights to happen by 2040, only engineering effort and currently available techniques.
I believe the economic incentives will align with this automation once it becomes achievable.
Transportation and warehousing currently accounts for ~10% of US employment.
Can I infer via nominative determinism that Scott Anderson is a friend of the rationalist community?
He is indeed.
Let’s add another Scott to our coffers.
The other other Scott A