I don’t see how a trading system can incorporate new complex and often ambiguous evidence in real time. I definitely take your point about emotional trading being dangerous though.
Systematic trading is not the same thing as algorithmic trading. They’re related, but algorithmic trading is taken to the extreme where a computer can do all the work. Normal systematic trading can have a human element, and you can provide the “forecast” component (instead of technical signals or something), and the rules tell you what to do based on your current forecast.
You need to have an exit already planned when you get in. Not just how to deal with a win, but also how to handle a loss, or you may be tempted to take profits too early, or be in denial and ride a loss too far. The adage is “cut your losses short and let your profits run”. Emotional trading tends to do the opposite and lose money. (BTW, the rule is the opposite for short option spreads.)
Carver’s Systematic Trading is a good introduction to the concept. This one I have read.
Systematic trading is not the same thing as algorithmic trading. They’re related, but algorithmic trading is taken to the extreme where a computer can do all the work. Normal systematic trading can have a human element, and you can provide the “forecast” component (instead of technical signals or something), and the rules tell you what to do based on your current forecast.
You need to have an exit already planned when you get in. Not just how to deal with a win, but also how to handle a loss, or you may be tempted to take profits too early, or be in denial and ride a loss too far. The adage is “cut your losses short and let your profits run”. Emotional trading tends to do the opposite and lose money. (BTW, the rule is the opposite for short option spreads.)
Carver’s Systematic Trading is a good introduction to the concept. This one I have read.