Updates come from reality playing out differently than you expected. Without knowing the models that someone has it’s hard to say how they should update based on events happening.
The Chinese are going to have a bunch of scenarios mapped out in which the US would or wouldn’t respond militarily and those rest on assumptions about how the US makes decisions. I don’t think that the US response to Ukraine invalidates any of the assumptions that CCP models of the world in which the US retaliates militarily.
Updates come from reality playing out differently than you expected. Without knowing the models that someone has it’s hard to say how they should update based on events happening.
The Chinese are going to have a bunch of scenarios mapped out in which the US would or wouldn’t respond militarily and those rest on assumptions about how the US makes decisions. I don’t think that the US response to Ukraine invalidates any of the assumptions that CCP models of the world in which the US retaliates militarily.