So the matter turns out to be just as urgent, even if you can’t predict the future. Perhaps such uncertainty only makes it more urgent.
You may not be predicting an exact future, but by claiming it is urgent, you are inherently predicting a probability distribution with a high expected value for catastrophic damage. (And as such, the more urgent your prediction, the more that failure of the prediction to come true should lower your confidence that you understand the issue.)
You may not be predicting an exact future, but by claiming it is urgent, you are inherently predicting a probability distribution with a high expected value for catastrophic damage. (And as such, the more urgent your prediction, the more that failure of the prediction to come true should lower your confidence that you understand the issue.)