Also, MIRI isn’t (necessarily) a hive mind, so not sure if Rob, Nate or Abram actually share the same estimate of how doomed we are as Eliezer.
Indeed, I expect that the views of at least some individuals working at MIRI vary considerably.
In some ways, the post would seem more accurate to me if it had the Onion-esque headline: Eliezer announces on MIRI’s behalf that “MIRI adopts new ‘Death with Dignity’ strategy.”
Still, I love the post a lot. Also, Eliezer has always been pivotal in MIRI.
Indeed, I expect that the views of at least some individuals working at MIRI vary considerably.
In some ways, the post would seem more accurate to me if it had the Onion-esque headline: Eliezer announces on MIRI’s behalf that “MIRI adopts new ‘Death with Dignity’ strategy.”
Still, I love the post a lot. Also, Eliezer has always been pivotal in MIRI.
The five MIRI responses in my AI x-risk survey (marked with orange dots) show a lot of variation in P(doom):
(Albeit it’s still only five people; maybe a lot of MIRI optimists didn’t reply, or maybe a lot of pessimists didn’t, for some reason.)