“To win any battle, you must fight as if you are already dead.” — Miyamoto Musashi.
I don’t in fact personally know we won’t make it. This may be because I’m more ignorant than Eliezer, or may be because he (or his April first identity, I guess) is overconfident on a model, relative to me; it’s hard to tell.
Regardless, the bit about “don’t get psychologically stuck having-to-(believe/pretend)-it’s-gonna-work seems really sane and healthy to me. Like falling out of an illusion and noticing your feet on the ground. The ground is a more fun and joyful place to live, even when things are higher probability of death than one is used to acting-as-though, in my limited experience. More access to creativity near the ground, I think.
But, yes, I can picture things under the heading “ineffective doomerism” that seem to me like they suck. Like, still trying to live in an ego-constructed illusion of deferral, and this time with “and we die” pasted on it, instead of “and we definitely live via such-and-such a plan.”
I think I have more access to all of my emotional range nearer the ground, but this sentence doesn’t ring true to me.
The ground is a more fun and joyful place to live, even when things are higher probability of death than one is used to acting-as-though, in my limited experience.
“To win any battle, you must fight as if you are already dead.” — Miyamoto Musashi.
I don’t in fact personally know we won’t make it. This may be because I’m more ignorant than Eliezer, or may be because he (or his April first identity, I guess) is overconfident on a model, relative to me; it’s hard to tell.
Regardless, the bit about “don’t get psychologically stuck having-to-(believe/pretend)-it’s-gonna-work seems really sane and healthy to me. Like falling out of an illusion and noticing your feet on the ground. The ground is a more fun and joyful place to live, even when things are higher probability of death than one is used to acting-as-though, in my limited experience. More access to creativity near the ground, I think.
But, yes, I can picture things under the heading “ineffective doomerism” that seem to me like they suck. Like, still trying to live in an ego-constructed illusion of deferral, and this time with “and we die” pasted on it, instead of “and we definitely live via such-and-such a plan.”
I think I have more access to all of my emotional range nearer the ground, but this sentence doesn’t ring true to me.
Hm. It rings true to me, but there have been periods of my life where it has been false.