We are quickly learning how to treat the virus. Your grandparents chances of survival if they get COVID-19 are likely significantly higher if they get it in three months than today. As the virus is new to humans there are likely a lot of “low-hanging fruit” mutations for evolution to find, and the more people the virus is in the more chance it will stumble upon a mutation that makes it better at invading the cells of young people. We don’t have a good estimate of how much long-term harm it does to people it doesn’t kill. While if you get the virus this year, you will probably be safe from it next year, we don’t know this for sure. We don’t yet know if viral loads matter and it could be that the rapid initial exponential growth of the virus once it is in you means it really isn’t important what your initial exposure is.
I did support lockdown (incl stronger measures than what the US employed) early on hoping for improved treatment. It’s barely improved. Nothing great is coming.
We are quickly learning how to treat the virus. Your grandparents chances of survival if they get COVID-19 are likely significantly higher if they get it in three months than today. As the virus is new to humans there are likely a lot of “low-hanging fruit” mutations for evolution to find, and the more people the virus is in the more chance it will stumble upon a mutation that makes it better at invading the cells of young people. We don’t have a good estimate of how much long-term harm it does to people it doesn’t kill. While if you get the virus this year, you will probably be safe from it next year, we don’t know this for sure. We don’t yet know if viral loads matter and it could be that the rapid initial exponential growth of the virus once it is in you means it really isn’t important what your initial exposure is.
We do know viral loads matter.
I did support lockdown (incl stronger measures than what the US employed) early on hoping for improved treatment. It’s barely improved. Nothing great is coming.