COVID-19 isn’t that bad for the vast majority of young and otherwise healthy people (no worse than a bad flu).
I disagree with this and disagree that it is the consensus. The risk of serious sequelae is uncertain but potentially quite high- certainly much worse than the flu.
What’s your evidence for this? I’ve seen claims to this effect but none with more credibility than “stuff people say on the Internet”. (I’m not claiming better evidence doesn’t exist, just that I haven’t seen it yet.)
I disagree with this and disagree that it is the consensus. The risk of serious sequelae is uncertain but potentially quite high- certainly much worse than the flu.
What’s your evidence for this? I’ve seen claims to this effect but none with more credibility than “stuff people say on the Internet”. (I’m not claiming better evidence doesn’t exist, just that I haven’t seen it yet.)
It’s pretty wide ranging and I don’t have time to find all of it, but off the top of my head
Jim’s Question on long term effects
The Diamond Princess Data (both initial death rates and the subsequent finding that half the asymptomatic cases had severe chest x-ray abnormalities)
A baseline expectation that it would be weird for something to be 10x worse in one population and not at all worse in another
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/10/world/europe/coronavirus-italy-recovery.html is another source about it.
Thank you. I’ve revised my post in light of this.