Ah maybe we weren’t clear: The judge can see which answer the consultant was assigned to, but doesn’t know if they’re honest. If the consultant refused to answer any questions then they would immediately out themselves as dishonest.
Which makes this make sense. Still surprised by how low, but I at least can’t think of a simple dominant strategy in this scenario.
Julian (the primary author) clarifies on Twitter:
Which makes this make sense. Still surprised by how low, but I at least can’t think of a simple dominant strategy in this scenario.