Probability is only in the map of it isn’t in the territory as well. The theory that it is in the territory as well is not known to be tue, but is scientifically respectable. As Gabriel writes:
One response is to reject determinism. Maybe in Newton’s day we believed the universe was deterministic, but now we know about wave functions and Heisenberg uncertainty and all of that stuff. If we accept that there is true randomness occurring on the quantum level, then the outcome of the next election isn’t predetermined — it will depend on all of the quantum interactions that occur between now and 2024. With this view, it makes complete sense to assign fractional probabilities.
Probability is only in the map of it isn’t in the territory as well. The theory that it is in the territory as well is not known to be tue, but is scientifically respectable. As Gabriel writes: