Think MMORPGs—what are the chances of simulation being like that vs a simulation with just a few special beings, and the rest NPCs?. Even if you say it’s 50⁄50, then given that MMORPG-style simulations have billions of observes and “observers are special” ones only have a few, then an overwhelming majority of simulates observers are actually not that special in their simulations.
Thank you Anon User. I thought a little more about the question and I now think it’s basically the Presumptuous Philosopher problem in disguise. Consider the following two theories that are equally likely:
T1 : I’m the only real observer
T2: I’m not the only real observer
For SIA, the ratio is 1:(8 billion / 10,000)=800,000, so indeed, as you said above, most copies of myself are not simulated.
For the SSA, the ratio is instead 10,000:1, so in most universes in the “multiverse of possibilities”, I am the only real observer.
So it’s just a typical Presumptuous Philosopher problem. Does this sound right to you?
Think MMORPGs—what are the chances of simulation being like that vs a simulation with just a few special beings, and the rest NPCs?. Even if you say it’s 50⁄50, then given that MMORPG-style simulations have billions of observes and “observers are special” ones only have a few, then an overwhelming majority of simulates observers are actually not that special in their simulations.
Thank you Anon User. I thought a little more about the question and I now think it’s basically the Presumptuous Philosopher problem in disguise. Consider the following two theories that are equally likely:
T1 : I’m the only real observer
T2: I’m not the only real observer
For SIA, the ratio is 1:(8 billion / 10,000)=800,000, so indeed, as you said above, most copies of myself are not simulated.
For the SSA, the ratio is instead 10,000:1, so in most universes in the “multiverse of possibilities”, I am the only real observer.
So it’s just a typical Presumptuous Philosopher problem. Does this sound right to you?