Incidentally, has anyone considered the possibility of raising funds for an independent organization dedicated to discovering the true origin of covid-19? I mean a serious org with dozens of qualified people for up to a decade.
It seems like an odd thing to do but the expected value of proving a lab origin for covid-19 is extremely high, perhaps half a percentage point x-risk reduction or something.
The expected value of that is infinitesimal, both in general and for x-risk reduction in particular. People who prefer political reasoning (so, the supermajority) will not trust it, people who don’t think COVID was an important thing except in how people reacted to it (like me) won’t care, and most people who both find COVID important (or sign of anything important) and actually prefer logical reasoning have already given it a lot of thought and found out that the bottleneck is data that China will not release anyone soon.
Incidentally, has anyone considered the possibility of raising funds for an independent organization dedicated to discovering the true origin of covid-19? I mean a serious org with dozens of qualified people for up to a decade.
It seems like an odd thing to do but the expected value of proving a lab origin for covid-19 is extremely high, perhaps half a percentage point x-risk reduction or something.
The expected value of that is infinitesimal, both in general and for x-risk reduction in particular. People who prefer political reasoning (so, the supermajority) will not trust it, people who don’t think COVID was an important thing except in how people reacted to it (like me) won’t care, and most people who both find COVID important (or sign of anything important) and actually prefer logical reasoning have already given it a lot of thought and found out that the bottleneck is data that China will not release anyone soon.