There’s decades of strong replicated research showing that smoking tobacco raises risk of multiple serious diseases and increases overall morbidity and mortality.
On the other hand, nicotine appears to be pretty close to harmless. The public health message is distorted in that respect.
Just too many medical revisions lately. Cholesterol, exercise, fat …
Besides, I remember an UN study which claimed, that the passive smoking is more dangerous than smoking itself. Not very credible piece of work, I think.
Therefore, a minor revision is possible. Not necessary, but possible.
Just too many medical revisions lately. Cholesterol, exercise, fat …
There a huge financial interest into Cholesterol lowering drugs. There industry interest into people thinking Cholesterol is dangerous.
In the case of smoking it’s very different. The doctors who find the link between smoking and lung cancer had to overcome a lot of resistance from well funded tabaco companies.
There a lot of empirical data that shows that smoking is bad.
When it comes to exercise, exercise is complicated. There are many different ways to exercise.
On the topic of fat, it’s hard to gather reliable data on what people eat.
Besides, I remember an UN study which claimed, that the passive smoking is more dangerous than smoking itself. Not very credible piece of work, I think.
If you think a particular study isn’t credible it should influence what you believe one way or the other.
Additionally it’s good to link to studies you cite on lesswrong.
Therefore, a minor revision is possible. Not necessary, but possible.
Then which probability to you allocate to that possibility?
I am not so sure about the tobacco case, anymore.
Still think that it’s not very healthy, but a minor or bigger revision from the current official medical position wouldn’t surprised me at all.
There’s decades of strong replicated research showing that smoking tobacco raises risk of multiple serious diseases and increases overall morbidity and mortality.
On the other hand, nicotine appears to be pretty close to harmless. The public health message is distorted in that respect.
Why? How did this post make you update in that direction?
Just too many medical revisions lately. Cholesterol, exercise, fat …
Besides, I remember an UN study which claimed, that the passive smoking is more dangerous than smoking itself. Not very credible piece of work, I think.
Therefore, a minor revision is possible. Not necessary, but possible.
(I don’t smoke, never did.)
There a huge financial interest into Cholesterol lowering drugs. There industry interest into people thinking Cholesterol is dangerous.
In the case of smoking it’s very different. The doctors who find the link between smoking and lung cancer had to overcome a lot of resistance from well funded tabaco companies. There a lot of empirical data that shows that smoking is bad.
When it comes to exercise, exercise is complicated. There are many different ways to exercise.
On the topic of fat, it’s hard to gather reliable data on what people eat.
If you think a particular study isn’t credible it should influence what you believe one way or the other. Additionally it’s good to link to studies you cite on lesswrong.
Then which probability to you allocate to that possibility?