“I don’t know” → “the best next step is congressional hearings” is QUITE a leap, and includes a whole lot of underlying probability assignments. AT LEAST it implies that the probability is high enough to spend effort on, and that somehow congress can dissolve a conspiracy that’s lasted decades.
Personally, I still assign a vanishingly low probability to aliens. But I assign enough probability to more prosaic malfeasance (military or private-group technology and behavior, and conspiracy to mislead both the public and the leadership of multiple countries including the conspirators’ own and allies) that I’d be happy to see investigations into it. I don’t know that public hearings are likely to be effective—some mix of private/journalistic investigation and still-secret-but-more-formal government investigation would be my best guess.
Moreover, I assign a very low probability that MY effort spent on the topic matters very much. I’m pretty much thinking about it for entertainment purposes.
“I don’t know” → “the best next step is congressional hearings” is QUITE a leap, and includes a whole lot of underlying probability assignments. AT LEAST it implies that the probability is high enough to spend effort on, and that somehow congress can dissolve a conspiracy that’s lasted decades.
Personally, I still assign a vanishingly low probability to aliens. But I assign enough probability to more prosaic malfeasance (military or private-group technology and behavior, and conspiracy to mislead both the public and the leadership of multiple countries including the conspirators’ own and allies) that I’d be happy to see investigations into it. I don’t know that public hearings are likely to be effective—some mix of private/journalistic investigation and still-secret-but-more-formal government investigation would be my best guess.
Moreover, I assign a very low probability that MY effort spent on the topic matters very much. I’m pretty much thinking about it for entertainment purposes.
That’s what the Church commission did.
That’s the question about whether voting in a Democracy matters.