The speculative theory I outlined here is different to the three options you discussed and may also be closer to the mainstream approach to “AGI-like” capabilities we see today. It differs from the heavy precedent approach because, while it is precedent-bound, if you can show that there’s enough overlap in the relevant priors then you get covergence as a theorem and not an ad-hoc speculation.
The speculative theory I outlined here is different to the three options you discussed and may also be closer to the mainstream approach to “AGI-like” capabilities we see today. It differs from the heavy precedent approach because, while it is precedent-bound, if you can show that there’s enough overlap in the relevant priors then you get covergence as a theorem and not an ad-hoc speculation.