Seems like there are two possible cases. Either:
a) There is a causal mechanism
b) None of the reasoning you might sensibly make actually works.
Since the reasoning only works in the causal mechanism case, the existence of the freak world case doesn’t actually make any difference, so we’re back to the case where we have a causal mechanism and where RichardKennaway has explained everything far better than I have.
Seems like there are two possible cases. Either: a) There is a causal mechanism b) None of the reasoning you might sensibly make actually works.
Since the reasoning only works in the causal mechanism case, the existence of the freak world case doesn’t actually make any difference, so we’re back to the case where we have a causal mechanism and where RichardKennaway has explained everything far better than I have.