It accreted detail for a decade just to prove that they were doing something. It is a good demonstration of the typical failure modes of an agent-based model. A useful model has very few parameters abstract parameters, so that they can be measured from reality. Agent-based models are useful to explore the space of relevant parameters, not to simulate a country. If simulating a country is “sophisticated,” then I don’t want to be a sophist.
I wasn’t saying I’m a fan of the Imperial Model and I agree with most of these points. I think there are epi modelers who aware of the limitations of models.
The Imperial model is worse than the SIR model.
It accreted detail for a decade just to prove that they were doing something. It is a good demonstration of the typical failure modes of an agent-based model. A useful model has very few parameters abstract parameters, so that they can be measured from reality. Agent-based models are useful to explore the space of relevant parameters, not to simulate a country. If simulating a country is “sophisticated,” then I don’t want to be a sophist.
I wasn’t saying I’m a fan of the Imperial Model and I agree with most of these points. I think there are epi modelers who aware of the limitations of models.