You probably won’t go far wrong if you assume I agree with you on the points I don’t respond to. I probably shouldn’t have talked about them in the first place.
overcoming heuristics:
If we know a bias is caused by a heuristic, then we should use that heuristic less. But articulating a meta-heuristic about when to use it is very different implementing that meta-heuristic. Human minds aren’t eurisko that can dial up the strength on heuristics. Even if we implement a heuristic, as in Kahneman’s planning anecdote, and get more accurate information, we may simply ignore it.
The basic problem is system 1 vs 2, when to analyze a problem and when to trust unconscious systems. Perhaps we have control over the conscious analysis (but still, it has unconscious inputs). But even starting the process, turning on the conscious process, must be done from an unconscious start.
You probably won’t go far wrong if you assume I agree with you on the points I don’t respond to. I probably shouldn’t have talked about them in the first place.
overcoming heuristics:
If we know a bias is caused by a heuristic, then we should use that heuristic less. But articulating a meta-heuristic about when to use it is very different implementing that meta-heuristic. Human minds aren’t eurisko that can dial up the strength on heuristics. Even if we implement a heuristic, as in Kahneman’s planning anecdote, and get more accurate information, we may simply ignore it.
The basic problem is system 1 vs 2, when to analyze a problem and when to trust unconscious systems. Perhaps we have control over the conscious analysis (but still, it has unconscious inputs). But even starting the process, turning on the conscious process, must be done from an unconscious start.