Yes, I’m aware of and agree with all of that. I don’t have very high confidence in any of my assumptions and don’t believe I have anything like “control” but I’m comfortable with my current risk profile, given my behavior and the stats in my region. Under current conditions I estimate that my taking additional precautions beyond what I now do, such as taping a mask on, would not be a net positive for my or anyone else’s well-being.
What is your expected death risk if you catch it. I tried to determine mine but I ended up with a risk expectation somewhere between 0,4 and 0,001 percent. This estimation was influenced mainly by conflicting data and insecurity about how to account for absent risk factors
Yes, pretty much my estimate as well. Given the rarity and brevity of my contact with anyone outside my household and the level of cases in my region, my risk of infection in the first place remains quite low as well. Overall, even at the high end, I don’t see how covid risk increases my total risk of death my more than 50%, which given my age is still low enough that I don’t feel a need to take all possible precautions. I felt differently in March to May when there was even less known about what the pandemic. At some point, though, covid precautions run up against other needs (physical, mental, and emotional), and for me taping my mask to my face would cross that threshold.
Yes, I’m aware of and agree with all of that. I don’t have very high confidence in any of my assumptions and don’t believe I have anything like “control” but I’m comfortable with my current risk profile, given my behavior and the stats in my region. Under current conditions I estimate that my taking additional precautions beyond what I now do, such as taping a mask on, would not be a net positive for my or anyone else’s well-being.
What is your expected death risk if you catch it. I tried to determine mine but I ended up with a risk expectation somewhere between 0,4 and 0,001 percent. This estimation was influenced mainly by conflicting data and insecurity about how to account for absent risk factors
Yes, pretty much my estimate as well. Given the rarity and brevity of my contact with anyone outside my household and the level of cases in my region, my risk of infection in the first place remains quite low as well. Overall, even at the high end, I don’t see how covid risk increases my total risk of death my more than 50%, which given my age is still low enough that I don’t feel a need to take all possible precautions. I felt differently in March to May when there was even less known about what the pandemic. At some point, though, covid precautions run up against other needs (physical, mental, and emotional), and for me taping my mask to my face would cross that threshold.