Metaculus is running a small competition right now called the Bentham Prize. The premise is simple: contribute to the discussions of questions on Animal Welfare. The best record of contributions (subjectively assessed by human judges) will win.
If you’ve been waiting for a reason to start practicing forecasting, this seems as good as any. It’s gotten off to a slow start (in part because the Metaculus community has become quite distracted by another matter), so the field is wide open!
If anybody has any questions about this, I’d be happy to answer as a Metaculus community moderator!
First round of prizes announced. Congratulations to user haven and to our very own AABoyles and PeterHurford!
Thanks! Also, thanks to Pablo_Stafforini, DanielFilan and Tamay for judging.
A second round is scheduled to begin this Saturday, 2020-02-08. New predictors should have a minor advantage in later rounds as the winners will have already exhausted all the intellectual low-hanging fruit. Please join us!