An alternate framing could be about changing group boundaries rather than changing demographics in an isolated group.
There were surely people in 2010 who thought that the main risk from AI was it being used by bad people. The difference might not be that these people have popped into existence or only recently started talking—it’s that they’re inside the fence more than before.
And of course, reality is always complicated. One of the concerns in the “early LW” genre is value stability and self-trust under self-modification, which has nothing to do with sudden growth. And one of the “recent” genre concerns is arms races, which are predicated on people expecting sudden capability growth to give them a first mover advantage.
An alternate framing could be about changing group boundaries rather than changing demographics in an isolated group.
There were surely people in 2010 who thought that the main risk from AI was it being used by bad people. The difference might not be that these people have popped into existence or only recently started talking—it’s that they’re inside the fence more than before.
And of course, reality is always complicated. One of the concerns in the “early LW” genre is value stability and self-trust under self-modification, which has nothing to do with sudden growth. And one of the “recent” genre concerns is arms races, which are predicated on people expecting sudden capability growth to give them a first mover advantage.