Welcome to Less Wrong! I’m going to restate your dilemma in my own words to make sure I’m understanding you before I advise: you are aware of two different mutually exclusive things you could believe. You believe that the belief you currently hold is true, but you also believe that the other one makes better predictions. Is that correct?
Welcome to Less Wrong! I’m going to restate your dilemma in my own words to make sure I’m understanding you before I advise: you are aware of two different mutually exclusive things you could believe. You believe that the belief you currently hold is true, but you also believe that the other one makes better predictions. Is that correct?