My estimate of the core technology working would be “it simply looks like it should work”, which in terms of calibration should probably go to 90% or 80% or something like that.
I don’t think this probability is too high if by ‘core technology working’ you mean ever working. However, would you modify this probability if we’re talking specifically about people virtified in the next ten years? As we learn more about how to unvitrify people, we’ll learn more about the right way to vitrify them.
Alcor writes cryonics should work
If foreseeable technology can repair injuries of the preservation process;
so that’s probably the probability I’m talking about.
I don’t think this probability is too high if by ‘core technology working’ you mean ever working. However, would you modify this probability if we’re talking specifically about people virtified in the next ten years? As we learn more about how to unvitrify people, we’ll learn more about the right way to vitrify them.
Alcor writes cryonics should work
so that’s probably the probability I’m talking about.