If someone asks me to consider what happens if a fair coin has flipped 1,000 times heads i na. row, i’m going to fight the hypothetical; it violates my priors so strongly that there’s no real world situation where i can accept the hypothetical as given.
I think what’s being smuggled in is something like an orthogonality thesis, which says something like ‘worldstates, and how people feel, are orthogonal to each other.’
If someone asks me to consider what happens if a fair coin has flipped 1,000 times heads i na. row, i’m going to fight the hypothetical; it violates my priors so strongly that there’s no real world situation where i can accept the hypothetical as given.
I think what’s being smuggled in is something like an orthogonality thesis, which says something like ‘worldstates, and how people feel, are orthogonal to each other.’