I am opening this thread to test the hypothesis that SuperIntelligence is plausible but that Whole-Brain Emulations would most likely become obsolete before they were even possible.
I’m not sure of what you’re claiming here. Are you hypothesizing that a path to Superintelligence which requires WBE will likely be slower than a path which does not? Or something else, like that brain-based computation with good APIs will hold a relative advantage over WBE indefinitely?
Further, given the ability to do so, entities which were near to being Whole-Brain Emulations would rapidly choose to cease to be near Whole-Brain Emulations and move on to become something else.
Again, this could be clearer. Are you implying that a WBE in the process of being constructed will opt not to be completed before beginning to self-improve (i.e. become a neuromorph)?
The hypothesis is that human Whole-Brain Emulation will not be a recognizable stage in the development of AGI that lasts for any significant amount of time. Also, an “algorithmic economy” of human whole-brain emulations is highly unlikely to be anything but science fiction.
The goal is to examine whether there are some fundamental flaws in the the nature of this forecast.
I will lay out the case after more opinions and reading material are available to us...
I’m not sure of what you’re claiming here. Are you hypothesizing that a path to Superintelligence which requires WBE will likely be slower than a path which does not? Or something else, like that brain-based computation with good APIs will hold a relative advantage over WBE indefinitely?
Again, this could be clearer. Are you implying that a WBE in the process of being constructed will opt not to be completed before beginning to self-improve (i.e. become a neuromorph)?
I wish to see whether we can show that human whole-brain emulations wll be essentially neuromorphic in a great many ways.
Almost as soon as they exist, something more effective and productive will become available.
The hypothesis is that human Whole-Brain Emulation will not be a recognizable stage in the development of AGI that lasts for any significant amount of time. Also, an “algorithmic economy” of human whole-brain emulations is highly unlikely to be anything but science fiction.
The goal is to examine whether there are some fundamental flaws in the the nature of this forecast.
I will lay out the case after more opinions and reading material are available to us...