I was looking at the NIPS growth numbers last June and I made a joke:
AI researcher anthropics: ‘researchers [should] tend to think AI is ~20 years away because given exponential growth of researchers & careers of ~30 years, the final generation of researchers will make up a majority of all researchers, hence, by SSA+Outside View, one must assume 20 years.’
(Of course, I’m making a rather carbon-chauvinistic assumption here that it’s only human researchers/researcher-years which matter.)
I was looking at the NIPS growth numbers last June and I made a joke:
(Of course, I’m making a rather carbon-chauvinistic assumption here that it’s only human researchers/researcher-years which matter.)