Is the following interpretation equivalent to the point?
It can be systematically incorrect to “update on evidence.” What my brain experiences as “evidence” is actually “an approximation of the posterior.” Thus, the actual dog is [1% scary], but my prior says dogs are [99% scary], I experience the dog as [98% scary] which my brain rounds back to [99% scary]. And so I get more evidence that I am right.
Is the following interpretation equivalent to the point?
It can be systematically incorrect to “update on evidence.” What my brain experiences as “evidence” is actually “an approximation of the posterior.” Thus, the actual dog is [1% scary], but my prior says dogs are [99% scary], I experience the dog as [98% scary] which my brain rounds back to [99% scary]. And so I get more evidence that I am right.