This post gave me a piece of jargon that I’ve found useful since reading it. In some sense, the post is just saying “sometimes people don’t do Bayesian updating”, which is a pretty cold take. But I found it useful to read through a lot of examples and discussion of what the deal might be. In my practice of everyday rationality, this post made it easier for me to stop and ask things like, “Is this a trapped prior? Might my [or others’] reluctance to update be due to whatever mechanisms cause a trapped prior?”
This post gave me a piece of jargon that I’ve found useful since reading it. In some sense, the post is just saying “sometimes people don’t do Bayesian updating”, which is a pretty cold take. But I found it useful to read through a lot of examples and discussion of what the deal might be. In my practice of everyday rationality, this post made it easier for me to stop and ask things like, “Is this a trapped prior? Might my [or others’] reluctance to update be due to whatever mechanisms cause a trapped prior?”