He predicts “Ahmedinijad will lose influence and the mullahs will become slightly more influential”, not loss of office—which is not testable.
All Iranian officials have claimed endlessly that their program is “civilian only” etc. - it would be a huge surprise if they made a sudden reversal.
If someone expected Iran to have had nukes, they have a serious prediction problems. The only people “expecting” that were the same who were expecting Saddam to have nukes.
He predicts “Ahmedinijad will lose influence and the mullahs will become slightly more influential”, not loss of office—which is not testable.
All Iranian officials have claimed endlessly that their program is “civilian only” etc. - it would be a huge surprise if they made a sudden reversal.
If someone expected Iran to have had nukes, they have a serious prediction problems. The only people “expecting” that were the same who were expecting Saddam to have nukes.