I think this is essentially the point I was trying to make in an earlier argument with you where I objected to comparing E[A] and E[B] if Var[A] and/or Var[B] is large. However, you seem to have phrased it much more eloquently here than I was able to at the time.
Yeah. I noticed this phenomenon when putting together some estimates and was motivated to write it up here because it seemed to be related to intuitions which many people had expressed to me and which I had mostly dismissed.
I think this is essentially the point I was trying to make in an earlier argument with you where I objected to comparing E[A] and E[B] if Var[A] and/or Var[B] is large. However, you seem to have phrased it much more eloquently here than I was able to at the time.
Yeah. I noticed this phenomenon when putting together some estimates and was motivated to write it up here because it seemed to be related to intuitions which many people had expressed to me and which I had mostly dismissed.