I took the survey 2 days ago. It was fun. I think I was well calibrated for those calibration questions, but sadly there was no “results” section.
Is it possible to self-consistently believe you’re poorly calibrated? If you believe you’re overconfident then you would start making less confident predictions right?
Being poorly calibrated can also mean you’re inconsistent between being overconfident and underconfident.
You can be imperfectly synchronised across contexts & instances.
I took the survey 2 days ago. It was fun. I think I was well calibrated for those calibration questions, but sadly there was no “results” section.
Is it possible to self-consistently believe you’re poorly calibrated? If you believe you’re overconfident then you would start making less confident predictions right?
Being poorly calibrated can also mean you’re inconsistent between being overconfident and underconfident.
You can be imperfectly synchronised across contexts & instances.