Simpler is not always more probable, it’s just something with which to build your priors.
If you have two theories that make different but similar predictions of noisy data, the one that fits the data better might be the more probable, even if it’s vastly more complex.
Simpler is not always more probable, it’s just something with which to build your priors.
If you have two theories that make different but similar predictions of noisy data, the one that fits the data better might be the more probable, even if it’s vastly more complex.