Good point about risk also being a factor, but just the point in question isn’t how to perform an expected utility calculation, but the justification of it
If I had agreed with Omega about the bet in advance, then I’d pay up. (This covers concerns about risk.)
So, would you pay if the agreement was made, not cleanly ‘in the past’, but time travel was involved?
No. I don’t know the accuracy of the prediction. It’s just that I already know the result of the coin flip.
Good point about risk also being a factor, but just the point in question isn’t how to perform an expected utility calculation, but the justification of it
If I had agreed with Omega about the bet in advance, then I’d pay up. (This covers concerns about risk.)
So, would you pay if the agreement was made, not cleanly ‘in the past’, but time travel was involved?
No. I don’t know the accuracy of the prediction. It’s just that I already know the result of the coin flip.