I just came across something that seems similar: how they say “past performance is not an indicator of future results” in finance.
Uh… yes it is! It’s not a perfect indicator. It might not even be a good indicator. But it is an indicator. In other words, it is not zero Bayesian evidence.
I just came across something that seems similar: how they say “past performance is not an indicator of future results” in finance.
Uh… yes it is! It’s not a perfect indicator. It might not even be a good indicator. But it is an indicator. In other words, it is not zero Bayesian evidence.