Upvote for attempting foundational work on reference class forecasting which seems underexplored in terms of implementable by humans heuristics.
Meta: I think it would have been better to post these 1 per day?
1) noting that all the research is Kevin Kelly’s, I’m just taking his class 2) I agree that it seems underexplored and interesting.
meta: agreed. I’m putting all the posts up now for logistical reasons related to the class.
Upvote for attempting foundational work on reference class forecasting which seems underexplored in terms of implementable by humans heuristics.
Meta: I think it would have been better to post these 1 per day?
1) noting that all the research is Kevin Kelly’s, I’m just taking his class 2) I agree that it seems underexplored and interesting.
meta: agreed. I’m putting all the posts up now for logistical reasons related to the class.