Whoa, I hadn’t realized you’d originated the term “anti-inductive”! Scott apparently didn’t realize he was copying this from you, and neither I nor anyone else apparently realized this was your single-point-of-origin coinage, either.
Politics isn’t quite a market for mindshare, as there are coercive equilibria at play. But I think it’s another arena that can accurately be called anti-inductive. “This is an adversarial epistemic environment, therefore tune up your level of background assumption that apparent opportunity is not real” has [usefully IMO] become a central reflex of thought for me over the last few years. But to my surprise the phrase “politics is anti-inductive” turns up zero Google results except for this Tweet.
Whoa, I hadn’t realized you’d originated the term “anti-inductive”! Scott apparently didn’t realize he was copying this from you, and neither I nor anyone else apparently realized this was your single-point-of-origin coinage, either.
Politics isn’t quite a market for mindshare, as there are coercive equilibria at play. But I think it’s another arena that can accurately be called anti-inductive. “This is an adversarial epistemic environment, therefore tune up your level of background assumption that apparent opportunity is not real” has [usefully IMO] become a central reflex of thought for me over the last few years. But to my surprise the phrase “politics is anti-inductive” turns up zero Google results except for this Tweet.