They’d be vaccinated-lite. The neutralization titers in vaccinated plasma are better than in convalescent plasma. Lots of room to complicate things and get it closer to reality, but that doesn’t touch the public good value thing so much.
You can do better than vaccinated lite. Since we know that neutralization titers in vaccinated decline as a function of time from vaccination, we can say that the unvaccinated recovered are like vaccinated ~4 months from vaccination, or 5 months and then we can treat everyone as vaccinated with x time passed from last vaccination.
4 months since having the third booster provides more protection then 4 months since second shot.
A lot of vaccines out in the world are already 0, 1 months 6 months to give people good lifetime protection because two shoots are not enough to give lifetime protection.
How do you incorporate unvaccinated who recovered from covid in your model? Are they equivalent to vaccinated?
They’d be vaccinated-lite. The neutralization titers in vaccinated plasma are better than in convalescent plasma. Lots of room to complicate things and get it closer to reality, but that doesn’t touch the public good value thing so much.
You can do better than vaccinated lite. Since we know that neutralization titers in vaccinated decline as a function of time from vaccination, we can say that the unvaccinated recovered are like vaccinated ~4 months from vaccination, or 5 months and then we can treat everyone as vaccinated with x time passed from last vaccination.
4 months since having the third booster provides more protection then 4 months since second shot.
A lot of vaccines out in the world are already 0, 1 months 6 months to give people good lifetime protection because two shoots are not enough to give lifetime protection.
Do we have a lot of data on people who had the third booster four months ago?