Oh, I see. My “we have so far to go” wasn’t meant to express optimism that we’re at the beginning of a burgeoning field (but I can see now how it could easily be interpreted that way). I meant more that when we’ve eventually got rationality fully figured out (i.e., some time after the Singularity), the amount of knowledge we have about it today will probably seem tiny in comparison.
Unless you have doubts that even superintelligence can answer my questions?
I’m confused what point you’re making. Isn’t P(the majority of work remains ahead of us | investigating a new field) quite high?
It’s hard to tell whether we’re at the beginning of a bugeonning field, or about to hit diminishing returns.
Oh, I see. My “we have so far to go” wasn’t meant to express optimism that we’re at the beginning of a burgeoning field (but I can see now how it could easily be interpreted that way). I meant more that when we’ve eventually got rationality fully figured out (i.e., some time after the Singularity), the amount of knowledge we have about it today will probably seem tiny in comparison.
Unless you have doubts that even superintelligence can answer my questions?