The most charitable and still reasonably literal interpretation is to take the probability distribution for each magnitude of change and integrate over
Basically.
which means that you suggest to vote for the candidate whose victory causes higher expected change.
No. It’s which vote has the highest expected change. Some of the expected change comes from the candidate winning. Some comes from secondary effects, such as changing the party platform.
Basically.
No. It’s which vote has the highest expected change. Some of the expected change comes from the candidate winning. Some comes from secondary effects, such as changing the party platform.