Can you give three examples of improvements in your life since your epiphany?
Sure!
1) My conversations with friends are more efficient illuminating. 2) I learn more quickly from mistakes. 3) I prevent more mistakes before they get the chance to happen.
If I hadn’t given those examples, could you have predicted positive changes resulting from having generally more accurate beliefs? It really doesn’t seem that surprising to me that someone’s life would improve in a zillion different ways if they weren’t wrong so much.
1) My conversations with friends are more efficient illuminating. 2) I learn more quickly from mistakes. 3) I prevent more mistakes before they get the chance to happen.
Well can you give specific examples of mistakes you learned more quickly from and/or prevented? And can you give an example of some illumination you got more efficiently out of a conversation?
If I hadn’t given those examples, could you have predicted positive changes resulting from having generally more accurate beliefs?
Not necessarily—peoples’ maps of reality tend to be pretty good when important personal interests are at stake. Perhaps a good Cimmerian believes, in theory, that if he dies then Crom will instantly take him to eternal paradise. But somehow that doesn’t stop our Good Cimmerian from expending a lot of effort trying to stay alive, possibly including breaking some of Crom’s rules.
Also, it costs mental energy to make your beliefs more accurate and there is no guarantee that it will be worth the trouble to do so.
Last, as mentioned above, beliefs serve other purposes besides being inputs for predictions.
Sure!
1) My conversations with friends are more efficient illuminating. 2) I learn more quickly from mistakes. 3) I prevent more mistakes before they get the chance to happen.
If I hadn’t given those examples, could you have predicted positive changes resulting from having generally more accurate beliefs? It really doesn’t seem that surprising to me that someone’s life would improve in a zillion different ways if they weren’t wrong so much.
Well can you give specific examples of mistakes you learned more quickly from and/or prevented? And can you give an example of some illumination you got more efficiently out of a conversation?
Not necessarily—peoples’ maps of reality tend to be pretty good when important personal interests are at stake. Perhaps a good Cimmerian believes, in theory, that if he dies then Crom will instantly take him to eternal paradise. But somehow that doesn’t stop our Good Cimmerian from expending a lot of effort trying to stay alive, possibly including breaking some of Crom’s rules.
Also, it costs mental energy to make your beliefs more accurate and there is no guarantee that it will be worth the trouble to do so.
Last, as mentioned above, beliefs serve other purposes besides being inputs for predictions.