“All discussion of gender relations on LessWrong, OvercomingBias, or any similar forum, will converge on GenderFail.” (This last one’s from April 2010, but still.)
[emphasis added]
Wow. Essentially, they prophesied Elevatorgate.
It isn’t prophecy if you have a large-n sample.
It’s reference class forecasting!
[emphasis added]
Wow. Essentially, they prophesied Elevatorgate.
It isn’t prophecy if you have a large-n sample.
It’s reference class forecasting!